BVA Outcome Rates by Condition & Benefit Type

What actually happens to each kind of issue at the Board — granted, denied, or remanded — computed at the issue level from the full text of public BVA decisions. Every rate shows its raw counts.

What this is computed from: 1,929,585 Board decisions (4,382,791 individual issues) dated 1992-03-30 to 2026-07-31, parsed from the public BVA decision archive at va.gov. Every archive year 1992–2025 is complete. 2026 is partial: decisions dated through 2026-07-31 are in, and newer ones are added as the Board publishes them. Years follow the Board's archive folders; some older decisions carry no decision date and are counted under their archive year (see the dataset coverage table). Rates are issue-level: one appeal often decides several issues, so counting a whole decision as a grant when any one issue was granted would overstate grant rates. 23,206 decisions our parser could not fully classify are excluded from rate math. Data build: 2026-10-05.

New: What evidence actually wins — the same corpus, split by whether the record held a nexus opinion, DBQ, buddy statements, service records or a hearing.

Board-wide baseline

All parsed issuesIssuesGrantedDeniedRemandedDismissed / other
Board-wide4,368,73618.4% (801,714/4,368,736)32.6% (1,424,221/4,368,736)42.7% (1,867,393/4,368,736)6.3% (275,408/4,368,736)

This single figure blends 1992–2026, each year weighted by how many issues the Board decided in it. Rates differ from year to year (table below), so for a specific period quote that year's row.

“Dismissed / other” is every issue that was not granted, denied or remanded: dismissed, withdrawn, vacated, moot or referred. The four columns add up to 100% of the issues in each row.

By year

YearIssuesGrantedDeniedRemandedDismissed / otherCoverage
199244,23011.8% (5,211/44,230)28.9% (12,792/44,230)59.0% (26,115/44,230)0.3% (112/44,230)complete
199332,04912.2% (3,896/32,049)35.2% (11,272/32,049)52.3% (16,760/32,049)0.4% (121/32,049)complete
199437,05913.1% (4,855/37,059)28.5% (10,578/37,059)53.3% (19,746/37,059)5.1% (1,880/37,059)complete
199543,23813.4% (5,789/43,238)24.1% (10,438/43,238)53.3% (23,063/43,238)9.1% (3,948/43,238)complete
199660,60312.8% (7,757/60,603)38.3% (23,210/60,603)45.6% (27,611/60,603)3.3% (2,025/60,603)complete
199768,61211.1% (7,613/68,612)42.0% (28,806/68,612)45.7% (31,337/68,612)1.2% (856/68,612)complete
199861,25812.0% (7,377/61,258)44.7% (27,403/61,258)41.9% (25,655/61,258)1.3% (823/61,258)complete
199960,88815.1% (9,201/60,888)47.2% (28,740/60,888)36.3% (22,093/60,888)1.4% (854/60,888)complete
200061,65116.8% (10,376/61,651)46.2% (28,507/61,651)35.0% (21,596/61,651)1.9% (1,172/61,651)complete
200148,12514.1% (6,780/48,125)32.2% (15,485/48,125)52.0% (25,038/48,125)1.7% (822/48,125)complete
200230,72320.3% (6,226/30,723)61.2% (18,813/30,723)15.8% (4,841/30,723)2.7% (843/30,723)complete
200366,66411.8% (7,841/66,664)26.0% (17,318/66,664)60.5% (40,304/66,664)1.8% (1,201/66,664)complete
200464,59211.6% (7,515/64,592)33.3% (21,519/64,592)53.1% (34,324/64,592)1.9% (1,234/64,592)complete
200567,05813.0% (8,690/67,058)48.2% (32,309/67,058)36.6% (24,522/67,058)2.3% (1,537/67,058)complete
200675,79111.8% (8,909/75,791)52.8% (40,026/75,791)33.2% (25,174/75,791)2.2% (1,682/75,791)complete
200781,58612.7% (10,330/81,586)50.3% (41,016/81,586)34.4% (28,103/81,586)2.6% (2,137/81,586)complete
200890,16613.5% (12,142/90,166)49.6% (44,764/90,166)34.1% (30,757/90,166)2.8% (2,503/90,166)complete
200998,96815.2% (15,053/98,968)45.7% (45,193/98,968)35.9% (35,527/98,968)3.2% (3,195/98,968)complete
201098,88716.9% (16,691/98,887)38.2% (37,769/98,887)41.2% (40,695/98,887)3.8% (3,732/98,887)complete
201195,58018.0% (17,246/95,580)34.9% (33,404/95,580)42.9% (41,020/95,580)4.1% (3,910/95,580)complete
201291,90517.6% (16,152/91,905)33.0% (30,292/91,905)45.0% (41,328/91,905)4.5% (4,133/91,905)complete
201388,83016.5% (14,695/88,830)33.0% (29,274/88,830)45.7% (40,554/88,830)4.8% (4,307/88,830)complete
2014125,55117.7% (22,190/125,551)29.9% (37,503/125,551)47.9% (60,098/125,551)4.6% (5,760/125,551)complete
2015128,58117.7% (22,755/128,581)27.3% (35,059/128,581)50.1% (64,364/128,581)5.0% (6,403/128,581)complete
2016115,85718.4% (21,320/115,857)27.7% (32,056/115,857)48.6% (56,299/115,857)5.3% (6,182/115,857)complete
2017144,45718.6% (26,834/144,457)31.9% (46,069/144,457)44.1% (63,689/144,457)5.4% (7,865/144,457)complete
2018144,49523.8% (34,458/144,495)28.5% (41,241/144,495)41.2% (59,460/144,495)6.5% (9,336/144,495)complete
2019291,37417.9% (52,296/291,374)30.0% (87,404/291,374)46.1% (134,212/291,374)6.0% (17,462/291,374)complete
2020279,81118.2% (50,929/279,811)31.5% (88,048/279,811)43.8% (122,595/279,811)6.5% (18,239/279,811)complete
2021263,05619.3% (50,760/263,056)29.5% (77,507/263,056)43.6% (114,823/263,056)7.6% (19,966/263,056)complete
2022269,80420.6% (55,482/269,804)25.1% (67,836/269,804)46.1% (124,486/269,804)8.2% (22,000/269,804)complete
2023301,44520.2% (60,974/301,445)25.3% (76,303/301,445)45.3% (136,490/301,445)9.2% (27,678/301,445)complete
2024317,96622.0% (69,998/317,966)27.5% (87,341/317,966)39.7% (126,162/317,966)10.8% (34,465/317,966)complete
2025333,14622.5% (75,069/333,146)31.1% (103,748/333,146)35.4% (117,909/333,146)10.9% (36,420/333,146)complete
2026184,73026.1% (48,304/184,730)29.9% (55,178/184,730)32.8% (60,643/184,730)11.2% (20,605/184,730)year in progress

The trend is the finding. Across complete years, the issue-level grant rate moves from 11.8% in 1992 to 22.5% in 2025, while remands move from 59.0% to 35.4%. Those years behave differently enough that a single all-years average describes none of them well — read the row for the year you care about, not the headline.

Every count here opens the decisions behind it in the Board decision finder: same issues, same counting, with links to each decision on va.gov and a CSV.

By condition

ConditionIssuesGrantedDeniedRemandedDismissed / other
Back411,20818.3% (75,271/411,208)32.3% (132,645/411,208)45.1% (185,519/411,208)4.3% (17,773/411,208)
Knee353,86618.4% (65,133/353,866)33.1% (117,227/353,866)43.9% (155,462/353,866)4.5% (16,044/353,866)
Ankle Foot231,71117.1% (39,701/231,711)33.7% (78,007/231,711)43.7% (101,340/231,711)5.5% (12,663/231,711)
Hearing Loss219,68018.4% (40,369/219,680)43.0% (94,554/219,680)33.1% (72,766/219,680)5.5% (11,991/219,680)
Psychiatric197,62125.7% (50,778/197,621)29.5% (58,248/197,621)39.6% (78,169/197,621)5.3% (10,426/197,621)
PTSD174,78720.4% (35,666/174,787)21.2% (37,041/174,787)52.5% (91,733/174,787)5.9% (10,347/174,787)
Radiculopathy173,17223.0% (39,786/173,172)32.8% (56,848/173,172)37.4% (64,752/173,172)6.8% (11,786/173,172)
Respiratory117,59616.2% (19,108/117,596)35.2% (41,380/117,596)42.6% (50,119/117,596)5.9% (6,989/117,596)
Hand Wrist108,83914.3% (15,528/108,839)37.0% (40,259/108,839)42.8% (46,562/108,839)6.0% (6,490/108,839)
Tinnitus107,55936.5% (39,230/107,559)34.1% (36,666/107,559)23.9% (25,753/107,559)5.5% (5,910/107,559)
Depression106,85128.1% (30,062/106,851)25.9% (27,681/106,851)39.8% (42,503/106,851)6.2% (6,605/106,851)
Shoulder103,03915.4% (15,850/103,039)33.5% (34,548/103,039)45.5% (46,855/103,039)5.6% (5,786/103,039)
Hypertension92,77516.9% (15,637/92,775)34.7% (32,169/92,775)42.8% (39,720/92,775)5.7% (5,249/92,775)
Skin82,10516.2% (13,275/82,105)38.1% (31,318/82,105)39.9% (32,746/82,105)5.8% (4,766/82,105)
Headache81,81125.7% (21,005/81,811)28.5% (23,329/81,811)39.7% (32,462/81,811)6.1% (5,015/81,811)
GI81,76316.9% (13,842/81,763)33.1% (27,030/81,763)44.1% (36,082/81,763)5.9% (4,809/81,763)
Sleep Apnea74,10823.6% (17,463/74,108)22.0% (16,309/74,108)47.6% (35,269/74,108)6.8% (5,067/74,108)
Hip73,64714.0% (10,283/73,647)34.0% (25,049/73,647)45.6% (33,570/73,647)6.4% (4,745/73,647)
Heart72,50517.4% (12,599/72,505)34.1% (24,738/72,505)42.4% (30,711/72,505)6.1% (4,457/72,505)
Diabetes70,14317.5% (12,252/70,143)36.6% (25,695/70,143)40.0% (28,067/70,143)5.9% (4,129/70,143)
Eye60,59513.9% (8,421/60,595)39.5% (23,949/60,595)40.5% (24,547/60,595)6.1% (3,678/60,595)
Anxiety58,80825.6% (15,054/58,808)25.8% (15,192/58,808)42.4% (24,953/58,808)6.1% (3,609/58,808)
Cancer58,03223.1% (13,378/58,032)31.7% (18,369/58,032)39.0% (22,625/58,032)6.3% (3,660/58,032)
Neck39,26615.9% (6,240/39,266)32.2% (12,626/39,266)46.2% (18,135/39,266)5.8% (2,265/39,266)
Elbow Arm35,37112.6% (4,456/35,371)37.0% (13,075/35,371)44.4% (15,692/35,371)6.1% (2,148/35,371)
Liver23,32212.8% (2,979/23,322)40.0% (9,338/23,322)42.1% (9,824/23,322)5.1% (1,181/23,322)
Erectile Dysfunction20,28515.6% (3,163/20,285)34.6% (7,011/20,285)41.3% (8,368/20,285)8.6% (1,743/20,285)
Kidney16,17613.1% (2,119/16,176)35.1% (5,685/16,176)44.5% (7,191/16,176)7.3% (1,181/16,176)
TBI15,79515.7% (2,478/15,795)29.3% (4,631/15,795)46.6% (7,367/15,795)8.4% (1,319/15,795)
Arthritis14,41910.7% (1,539/14,419)38.6% (5,559/14,419)45.6% (6,569/14,419)5.2% (752/14,419)
Gulf War12,8867.6% (985/12,886)35.6% (4,584/12,886)53.9% (6,950/12,886)2.8% (367/12,886)
Herbicide11,2137.6% (857/11,213)38.3% (4,295/11,213)51.0% (5,715/11,213)3.1% (346/11,213)
Thyroid9,69316.1% (1,557/9,693)32.1% (3,108/9,693)45.3% (4,389/9,693)6.6% (639/9,693)
Fibromyalgia7,46718.1% (1,349/7,467)31.6% (2,356/7,467)43.6% (3,259/7,467)6.7% (503/7,467)
Prostate6,2106.3% (390/6,210)38.7% (2,402/6,210)47.6% (2,959/6,210)7.4% (459/6,210)
Insomnia5,69616.1% (918/5,696)32.7% (1,860/5,696)41.2% (2,346/5,696)10.0% (572/5,696)
Gyn4,72017.6% (832/4,720)29.3% (1,384/4,720)47.9% (2,261/4,720)5.1% (243/4,720)
Burn Pit695.8% (4/69)24.6% (17/69)56.5% (39/69)13.0% (9/69)

By benefit type

Benefit typeIssuesGrantedDeniedRemandedDismissed / other
Service Connection2,303,80418.8% (433,118/2,303,804)30.2% (696,403/2,303,804)45.7% (1,052,467/2,303,804)5.3% (121,816/2,303,804)
Increased Rating928,36311.3% (105,328/928,363)43.8% (406,762/928,363)39.2% (363,936/928,363)5.6% (52,337/928,363)
TDIU173,36022.2% (38,534/173,360)16.5% (28,588/173,360)55.1% (95,443/173,360)6.2% (10,795/173,360)
Effective Date163,09426.7% (43,470/163,094)49.2% (80,294/163,094)14.8% (24,165/163,094)9.3% (15,165/163,094)
Special Monthly Compensation47,34530.8% (14,593/47,345)29.3% (13,859/47,345)32.8% (15,539/47,345)7.1% (3,354/47,345)
Pension29,1699.7% (2,836/29,169)43.0% (12,531/29,169)42.0% (12,258/29,169)5.3% (1,544/29,169)
Rating Reduction / Restoration24,29454.2% (13,168/24,294)18.8% (4,566/24,294)18.4% (4,477/24,294)8.6% (2,083/24,294)
DIC & Survivor Benefits15,3547.4% (1,131/15,354)52.7% (8,084/15,354)32.9% (5,054/15,354)7.1% (1,085/15,354)
Overpayment / Debt Waiver12,92519.7% (2,549/12,925)33.4% (4,315/12,925)38.9% (5,024/12,925)8.0% (1,037/12,925)
Auto / Adaptive Equipment / Housing12,68319.1% (2,421/12,683)35.8% (4,545/12,683)34.5% (4,379/12,683)10.5% (1,338/12,683)
Education Benefits12,43216.8% (2,084/12,432)45.3% (5,632/12,432)32.0% (3,973/12,432)6.0% (743/12,432)
Medical Reimbursement11,80716.8% (1,979/11,807)33.2% (3,916/11,807)33.6% (3,973/11,807)16.4% (1,939/11,807)
Clear & Unmistakable Error (CUE)11,7559.4% (1,103/11,755)48.7% (5,726/11,755)24.1% (2,835/11,755)17.8% (2,091/11,755)
Caregiver Program (PCAFC)6,0002.5% (153/6,000)11.6% (696/6,000)72.2% (4,330/6,000)13.7% (821/6,000)
New & Relevant Evidence4,17229.4% (1,228/4,172)37.7% (1,572/4,172)30.7% (1,281/4,172)2.2% (91/4,172)
Apportionment3,87916.1% (623/3,879)31.0% (1,201/3,879)41.5% (1,608/3,879)11.5% (447/3,879)
Attorney Fees2,84634.6% (986/2,846)27.8% (792/2,846)13.6% (388/2,846)23.9% (680/2,846)
Burial Benefits2,73910.7% (294/2,739)61.8% (1,694/2,739)24.0% (658/2,739)3.4% (93/2,739)
Home Loan Guaranty1,37416.2% (223/1,374)26.2% (360/1,374)50.9% (699/1,374)6.7% (92/1,374)
Competency6705.5% (37/670)27.6% (185/670)34.6% (232/670)32.2% (216/670)
Insurance6346.0% (38/634)54.1% (343/634)34.4% (218/634)5.5% (35/634)

Reading the table honestly

Issue-level counting. One Board decision frequently decides several issues with different outcomes. These tables count each issue once, which does not overstate grant rates the way counting a whole decision as granted would.

A remand is unfinished business. Remanded issues return to the regional office for more development. Some come back and win; some don't. Treat the remand column as "still in play," not as a win rate.

Selection effects are real. Issues that reach the Board are the ones veterans chose to appeal — usually the stronger denials. These rates describe Board dockets, not the fate of all VA claims.

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